The IMD forecasts hotter-than-usual temperatures from April to June, particularly affecting central, eastern, and northwestern India. An increase of 2-4 heatwave days is likely, with peak electricity demand expected to rise by 9-10% due to climate change influences. Most areas will experience elevated maximum and minimum temperatures, except some regions in the northwest and northeast.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecasted that temperatures across India will be hotter-than-usual from April to June, particularly impacting central and eastern regions, as well as the northwestern plains. The IMD chief, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, indicated that all regions, with some exceptions in western and eastern areas, will experience higher maximum temperatures. In addition, minimum temperatures will also surpass normal levels in most areas.
During this period, it is predicted that north and east India, alongside central regions and the plains of northwest India, may witness an increase of two to four heatwave days compared to the usual count, which ranges from four to seven heatwave days in general. Reports suggest that northwest India could face as many as double the usual heatwave days, which typically averages five to six days.
In April, most regions in India are likely to register unusually high maximum temperatures, while select areas in extreme southern and northwestern India might experience normal temperatures. However, minimum temperatures are projected to remain elevated across the majority of the country, with only a few locations in the northwest and northeast experiencing normal or slightly diminished temperatures.
As a result of the anticipated climate conditions, experts have cautioned that India may experience a rise in peak electricity demand by 9 to 10 percent this summer. Last year’s peak electricity demand exceeded 250 gigawatts on May 30, which was approximately 6.3 percent higher than initial projections. This surge in electricity consumption is significantly influenced by climate change-induced heat stress, requiring the country to prepare accordingly.
In summary, the IMD’s predictions for the summer months indicate significantly higher temperatures across India, especially in the north and east. The anticipated increase in heatwave days is likely to have substantial implications for electricity demand, necessitating preparedness for a surge in consumption. With climate change factors playing a pivotal role, monitoring and strategic planning will be essential in mitigating the impact of extreme weather conditions.
Original Source: www.hindustantimes.com