U.S.-Russia negotiations are expected to stagnate in spring, with no significant progress on key issues, particularly regarding Ukraine. Russian analyst Mikhail Neyzhmakov notes low chances for cessation of hostilities. The possibility of a Trump-Putin meeting is declining amidst political tensions in the U.S., though minor gestures of compromise could occur.
Negotiations between the United States and Russia are anticipated to stall during April and May, resulting in limited progress on key issues, particularly the Russia–Ukraine conflict. Russian political analyst Mikhail Neyzhmakov suggests that both parties may remain in contact, but a resolution appears unlikely in the near term.
Neyzhmakov emphasizes it is premature to expect a freeze in hostilities between Russia and Ukraine as both sides hold onto hopes that ongoing delays will benefit them geopolitically. He also notes that although the likelihood of cessation of military actions remains low, minor gestures for compromise, such as a temporary pause in combat or prisoner exchanges, may occur.
Regarding the potential meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin during Trump’s expected visit to Saudi Arabia, Neyzhmakov refers to Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov’s statement that Putin currently has no plans to meet with Trump. However, he notes that Peskov’s wording hints at the possibility for change in the future.
While Neyzhmakov acknowledges that significant meetings usually arise when agreements are close, he mentions that there is still a slight chance for a meeting in Riyadh. However, the prospects are decreasing largely due to the stagnant progress of U.S.-Russia discussions and Trump’s domestic political challenges.
Additionally, Neyzhmakov highlights the implication that Trump’s internal political vulnerabilities could compel him to adopt a tougher stance towards Russia, which might further impede any high-level discussions. He points to Trump’s recent political setback in Wisconsin and portrays a potential shift to project strength abroad, despite the realities of internal issues.
Neyzhmakov concludes that Trump’s forthcoming visit to Riyadh may serve broader strategic interests beyond the U.S.-Russia relationship, providing a platform for him to assert U.S. policies towards issues such as Iran and developments in Gaza.
In summary, U.S.-Russia negotiations are likely to stall in the coming months, with limited potential for resolution regarding the conflict in Ukraine. While minor gestures of compromise may transpire, the likelihood of a Trump-Putin meeting remains low due to both political and diplomatic challenges. Neyzhmakov’s insights indicate that domestic political issues for Trump could influence his foreign policy rhetoric, further affecting relations with Russia.
Original Source: news.az
